I'm using netstat -anp | grep 'tcp\|udp' | sed -n -e '/[0-9]\{1,3\}\.[0-9]\{1,3\}\.[0-9]\{1,3\}\.[0-9]\{1,3\}/p' | awk '{print$5}' | sed 's/::ffff://' | cut -d: -f1 | sort | uniq -c | sort -n
to check number of connections from particular IPs. I see IPs from Brazil, Russia, Peru, Mozambique, Vietnam... spawning hundreds of connections. Those are countries that most likely are not interested nor can understand content on my client's sites... so I think it is attack.
Anyway, if you can help me confirm your statement, I'll try it since I'm new in this and can be wrong.